UBS now sees Macau gross gaming revenue declining in 2019
UBS analyst Robin Farley lowered her 2019 Macau gross gaming revenue forecast to down 1% from up 5% previously. Her 2020 GGR estimate is now up 4% from a prior estimate of up 8%. Despite better than expected revenue in November, likely due to hold fluctuations, the lower estimates are driven by weaker VIP and premium demand amid heightened risk to the macroeconomic outlook in China, Farley tells investors in a research note partially titled "More Visitors Spending Less." She raised her price target for Neutral-rated Wynn Resorts (WYNN) to $113 from $108 while lowering her targets for Neutral-rated MGM Resorts (MGM) to $30 from $32 and Neutral-rated Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) to $19.50 from $21.60. The analyst also keeps a Neutral rating on Las Vegas Sands (LVS).